UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Finland
1 - 1
Romania

Pukki (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanase (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Finland and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Romania

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Romania 0-3 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Romania had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Romania
52.07% ( -0.02)	23.88% ( 0.02)	24.04% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.08)

46.87% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.07)

69.12% (

0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.03)

17.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-0.06)

48.83% (

0.06)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.05)

33.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

-0.05)

70.36% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Finland 52.08%

Romania 24.05%

Draw 23.87%

Finland	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.05%