Nations League
Sep 26, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Oliver Antman 47'
  • goal Benjamin Kallman 53'

Montenegro vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Bosnia H'vina 1 - 0 Montenegro

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Finland 1 - 1 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Finland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Montenegro 38.28% (-0.04)
Draw 24.49% (+0.02)
Finland 37.22% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.62% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.73% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 43.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.34% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.66% (+0.07)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 77.49% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.51% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 43.92% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.08% (+0.08)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.06% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.11% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.89% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Montenegro 38.28%
Draw 24.49%
Finland 37.22%
Montenegro
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.49%
Finland
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 7, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 31' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • yellowcard Nikola Sipcic 71'