Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Finland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.