Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bosnia-Herzegovina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bosnia-Herzegovina.