/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffinlog.png)
-
Alexander Sorloth
46'
-
Benjamin Kallman
32'
Norway vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fstale-solbakken.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Finland had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result
Norway
58.45%
▲
(+7.07)
Draw
22.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Finland
19.05%
▼
(-7.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.73%
▼
(-9.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.08%
▼
(-8.13)
Under 2.5
46.92%
▲
(+8.14)
Over 3.5
30.83%
▼
(-8.07)
Under 3.5
69.17%
▲
(+8.08)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
84.26%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
15.74%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
55.16%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 1.5
44.84%
▲
(+0.88)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5
61.39%
▼
(-10.88)
Under 0.5
38.61%
▲
(+10.89)
Over 1.5
24.65%
▼
(-12.06)
Under 1.5
75.35%
▲
(+12.06)
Score analysis
Norway
58.43%
Draw
22.5%
Finland
19.05%
Norway
1-0
@
11.23%
▲
(+3.28)
2-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+2.91)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+1.72)
3-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.76)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.96)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.48)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-81.61)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 58.43%
2-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+2.91)
2-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+1.72)
3-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.76)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.96)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.48)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-81.61)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 58.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.69%
▲
(+0.50)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+1.85)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-1.45)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.5%
0-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+1.85)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-1.45)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.5%
Finland
0-1
@
5.78%
▲
(+0.36)
1-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-1.46)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.74)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-1.19)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-1.14)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.05%
1-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-1.46)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.74)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-1.19)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-1.14)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.05%
Roman Eremenko
72'