Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Norway
35.53% ( 0.18)	25.74% ( -0.04)	38.73% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.06% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.92% (

0.22)

49.08% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

0.2)

71.16% (

-0.19)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

0.21)

26.69% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

0.27)

61.94% (

-0.27)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

0.03)

24.89% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

0.04)

59.51% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 35.53%

Norway 38.73%

Draw 25.73%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.73%