Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.