International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Alan Browne 69' goal
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 41'
  • goal Ohi Omoijuanfo 85'

Republic of Ireland vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Lithuania

Norway

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2022 6.00pm
Norway 9 - 0 Armenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result

Republic of Ireland 35.53% (+0.18)
Draw 25.74% (-0.05)
Norway 38.73% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.92% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 49.08% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 28.84% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 71.16% (-0.19)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 26.69% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 38.06% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 61.94% (-0.27)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 75.11% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.89% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.49% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.51% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 35.53%
Draw 25.73%
Norway 38.73%
Republic of Ireland
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.55% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 35.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
Norway
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.73%