Republic of Ireland vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.