Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Wembley Stadium

England
2 - 0
Ukraine

Kane (37'), Saka (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Italy 1-2 England
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Scotland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.

Result
England	Draw	Ukraine
51.47% ( -0.77)	25.74% ( 0.28)	22.79% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 47.37% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

-0.57)

55.41% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

-0.47)

76.61% (

0.47)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

-0.56)

21.58% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33% (

-0.86)

54.66% (

0.86)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

0.16)

39.6% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

0.15)

76.28% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

England 51.46%

Ukraine 22.79%

Draw 25.73%

England	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.46%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.79%