Italy vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Italy had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.