/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fhunlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Giacomo Raspadori
27'
-
Federico Dimarco
52'
Hungary vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Fengita.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F38%2Froberto-mancini.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
Result
Hungary
26.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
25.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Italy
48.33%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
51.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
26.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
73.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5
65.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
34.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
28.82%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
71.18%
▼
(-0.03)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
78.61%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
21.38%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
45.63%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
54.37%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Hungary
26.21%
Draw
25.46%
Italy
48.32%
Hungary
1-0
@
7.85%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.21%
2-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.21%
Draw
1-1
@
12.11%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.46%
0-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.46%
Italy
0-1
@
11.36%
1-2 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.32%
1-2 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.32%
