UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Hungary
0 - 2
Italy

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raspadori (27'), Dimarco (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Hungary and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Monday's decisive Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Germany 0-1 Hungary
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	5	5	10
2	Italy	5	-1	8
3	Germany	5	2	6
4	England	5	-6	2

Italy

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Italy 1-0 England
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	5	5	10
2	Italy	5	-1	8
3	Germany	5	2	6
4	England	5	-6	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Italy
26.21% ( 0.06)	25.46% ( 0.02)	48.33% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35% (

-0.03)

51.65% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56% (

-0.03)

73.43% (

0.03)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

0.03)

34.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

0.03)

71.18% (

-0.03)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61% (

-0.04)

21.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-0.07)

54.37% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hungary 26.21%

Italy 48.32%

Draw 25.46%

Hungary	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.21%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.32%