England vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for England had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest England win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.