World Cup
France
Dec 4, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Al Thumama Stadium
Poland
  • Olivier Giroud 44' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 74' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 90'+9'

France vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Poland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Poland had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result

France 71.7% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 17.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Poland 10.8% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.43% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.19% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 41.81% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 35.79% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 64.21% ▲ (+0.21)

France Goals

Over 0.5 89.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 10.33% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 66.21% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 33.78% ▲ (+0.20)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 52.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 47.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 17.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 82.56% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

France 71.69%
Draw 17.49%
Poland 10.8%
France
2-0 @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 71.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.49%
Poland
0-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 10.8%

Form Data

Tunisia 1 - 0 France
France 2 - 1 Denmark
France 4 - 1 Australia
Denmark 2 - 0 France
France 2 - 0 Austria
France 0 - 1 Croatia
Poland 0 - 2 Argentina
Poland 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia
Mexico 0 - 0 Poland
Poland 1 - 0 Chile
Wales 0 - 1 Poland
Poland 0 - 2 Netherlands

Build-up

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