/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Xaver Schlager
6'
-
David Alaba
35'
Austria vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fhunita.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result
Austria
26.93%
▼
(-2.61)
Draw
24.08%
▼
(-0.77)
Italy
48.98%
▲
(+3.38)
Both Teams to Score:
56.55%
▲
(+0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.68%
▲
(+1.73)
Under 2.5
45.32%
▼
(-1.73)
Over 3.5
32.34%
▲
(+1.63)
Under 3.5
67.66%
▼
(-1.63)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
69.47%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 0.5
30.53%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 1.5
33.24%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 1.5
66.75%
▲
(+1.22)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
81.41%
▲
(+2.10)
Under 0.5
18.59%
▼
(-2.10)
Over 1.5
50.13%
▲
(+3.41)
Under 1.5
49.87%
▼
(-3.41)
Score analysis
Austria
26.93%
Draw
24.08%
Italy
48.98%
Austria
1-0
@
6.73%
▼
(-0.72)
2-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.44)
2-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.93%
2-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.44)
2-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.33%
▼
(-0.41)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.44)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
0-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.44)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
Italy
0-1
@
9.55%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.46)
1-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.49)
0-3 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.53)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.34)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.33)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.98%
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.29)
0-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.46)
1-3 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.49)
0-3 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.53)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.21)
1-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.34)
0-4 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.33)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.98%
