Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Japan national football team

Germany
1 - 4
Japan

Sane (19')
Sule (25'), Gosens (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (11'), Ueda (22'), Asano (90'), Tanaka (90+2')
Itakura (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Japan in Wolfsburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawJapan
44.05% (1.735 1.74)25.17% (-0.084 -0.08)30.77% (-1.657 -1.66)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.251 -0.25)47.87% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.231 -0.23)70.05% (0.226 0.23)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.705 0.7)21.73% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (1.069 1.07)54.89% (-1.073 -1.07)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-1.21 -1.21)29.09% (1.206 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.518 -1.52)65.01% (1.514 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Germany 44.05%
    Japan 30.77%
    Draw 25.17%
GermanyDrawJapan
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Germany vs Japan

Germany
68.0%
Draw
9.3%
Japan
22.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-2
Japan
Gundogan (33' pen.)
Doan (75'), Asano (83')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!