Friendlies 1

Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
1 - 0
Germany

Kiwior (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Czech Republic	2	2	4
2	Poland	2	-1	3
3	Moldova	2	0	2
4	Faroe Islands	1	0	1
5	Albania	1	-1	0

Germany

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Poland	Draw	Germany
16.74% ( -0.29)	21.65% ( 0.02)	61.6% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.03% (

-0.59)

46.97% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79% (

-0.56)

69.21% (

0.56)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.66% (

-0.72)

41.34% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.14% (

-0.64)

77.86% (

0.64)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.11)

14.72% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.07% (

-0.21)

42.93% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Poland 16.74%

Germany 61.6%

Draw 21.65%

Poland	Draw	Germany
1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.74%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.65%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 11.17% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 61.6%