/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
-
Jakub Kiwior
31'
Poland vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F48%2Fgerdej.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Poland
16.74%
▼
(-0.30)
Draw
21.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Germany
61.6%
▲
(+0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
50.02%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.03%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 2.5
46.97%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
30.79%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 3.5
69.21%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 4.5
15.22%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
84.78%
▲
(+0.40)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
58.66%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 0.5
41.34%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 1.5
22.14%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 1.5
77.86%
▲
(+0.65)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
85.28%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
14.72%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
57.07%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
42.93%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Poland
16.74%
Draw
21.65%
Germany
61.6%
Poland
1-0
@
5.38%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
2-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
Draw
1-1
@
10.29%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
0-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
Germany
0-1
@
11.66%
▲
(+0.25)
0-2 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%
0-2 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%
