Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Poland win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.