Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.