Turkey national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
Scotland national football team

Turkey
2 - 1
Scotland

Kabak (40'), Under (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGinn (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Turkey and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Turkey
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Scotland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Scotland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-0 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawScotland
35.1% (-0.12 -0.12)29.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)35.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 43% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.92% (-0.107 -0.11)64.08% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)83.25% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)34.46% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.148 -0.15)71.18% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 35.1%
    Scotland 35.21%
    Draw 29.67%
TurkeyDrawScotland
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 11.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.67%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.21%

How you voted: Turkey vs Scotland

Turkey
58.6%
Draw
16.2%
Scotland
25.2%
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