UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turkey
2 - 0
Lithuania

Ayhan (37'), Calhanoglu (54' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baravykas (31'), Cernych (49'), Armanavicius (53'), Milasius (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Lithuania

Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Lithuania
57.74% ( 0.01)	23.64% ( 0.01)	18.62% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

-0.09)

52.14% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

-0.08)

73.86% (

0.07)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.03)

17.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

-0.05)

48.58% (

0.04)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.85% (

-0.08)

42.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.44% (

-0.07)

78.56% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Turkey 57.73%

Lithuania 18.62%

Draw 23.63%

Turkey	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.73%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.62%