/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flitlog.png)
-
Kaan Ayhan
37'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
54'
-
Rolandas Baravykas
31'
-
Fedor Cernych
49'
-
Vilius Armanavicius
53'
-
Titas Milasius
80'
Turkey vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result
Turkey
57.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.64%
▲
(+0.02)
Lithuania
18.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
47.53%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.85%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
52.14%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
26.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
73.86%
▲
(+0.08)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
82.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
17.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
51.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
48.58%
▲
(+0.05)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
57.85%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
42.14%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
21.44%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
78.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Turkey
57.73%
Draw
23.63%
Lithuania
18.62%
Turkey
1-0
@
12.95%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 57.73%
2-0 @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 57.73%
Draw
1-1
@
11.19%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.63%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.63%
Lithuania
0-1
@
6.5%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.62%
1-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.62%