UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turkey
3 - 3
Luxembourg

Under (16' pen.), Chanot (39' og.), Yuksek (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

da Graca (8'), Sinani (37'), Rodrigues (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Turkey 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Luxembourg

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Luxembourg
45.07% ( 0.18)	23.34% ( -0.05)	31.58% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 62.32% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.89% (

0.19)

39.1% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.57% (

0.2)

61.43% (

-0.2)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

0.14)

17.71% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63% (

0.25)

48.37% (

-0.25)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

0.02)

24.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

0.03)

58.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Turkey 45.07%

Luxembourg 31.58%

Draw 23.34%

Turkey	Draw	Luxembourg
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 45.07%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.58%