Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Albania had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.