Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

National Stadium

Poland
1 - 0
Albania

Swiderski (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Czech Republic 3-1 Poland
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	3	6
2	Poland	3	0	4
3	Mexico	3	-1	4
4	Saudi Arabia	3	-2	3

Albania

All competitions

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Armenia
Saturday, November 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Albania had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result
Poland	Draw	Albania
46.62% ( 1.87)	26.55% ( -0.16)	26.83% ( -1.7)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

-0.3)

55.46% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

-0.24)

76.65% (

0.25)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

0.77)

23.77% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

1.09)

57.92% (

-1.09)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99% (

-1.52)

36.01% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21% (

-1.59)

72.79% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

Poland 46.61%

Albania 26.83%

Draw 26.55%

Poland	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.61%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.83%