International Friendlies
Nov 19, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Air Albania Stadium
  • Xhuliano Skuka 28' goal
  • Kristjan Asllani 64' goal

Albania vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 13, 2022 5.00pm
Albania 0 - 0 Estonia

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 16, 2022 5.00pm
Kosovo 2 - 2 Armenia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result

Albania 50.61% (-0.04)
Draw 27.03% (+0.02)
Armenia 22.37% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.49% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 60.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.58% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.42% (+0.04)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5 76% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.26% (+0.06)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 57.22% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.78% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 79.1% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Albania 50.6%
Draw 27.02%
Armenia 22.37%
Albania
1-0 @ 14.65% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 50.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.02%
Armenia
0-1 @ 8.72% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.37%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 2.00pm
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
European Championship
Oct 11, 2015 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Robert Arzumanyan 17' yellowcard
  • Artur Yuspashyan 27' yellowcard
  • Gael Andonian 82' yellowcard
  • goal Kamo Hovhannisyan 9' (OG)
  • goal Berat Djimsiti 23'
  • yellowcard Naser Aliji 52'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 64'
  • goal Armando Sadiku 76'
  • yellowcard Migjen Basha 80'
European Championship
Mar 29, 2015 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lorik Cana 20' yellowcard
  • Mergin Mavraj 77' goal
  • Shkelzen Gashi 81' goal
  • Burim Kukeli 84' yellowcard
  • Sokol Cikalleshi 93' yellowcard
  • goal Mergin Mavraj 4' (OG)
  • yellowcard Marcos Pizzelli 38'
  • yellowcard Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 51'
  • redcard Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 70'
  • yellowcard Robert Arzumanyan 86'