/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgerlog.png)
-
Christian Pulisic
27'
-
Yunus Musah
56'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
39'
-
Mats Hummels
43'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
58'
-
Jamal Musiala
61'
USA vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fjulian-nagelsmann.jpg)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F37%2Fthomas-muller.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
Result
USA
41.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.51%
▲
(+0.07)
Germany
34.43%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
59.15%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.3%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
43.7%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
33.91%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
66.09%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
17.46%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
82.54%
▲
(+0.22)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
78.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
21.35%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
45.68%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
54.32%
▲
(+0.21)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5
75.21%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
24.79%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
40.64%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
59.37%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
USA
41.06%
Draw
24.51%
Germany
34.43%
USA
2-1
@
8.8%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 41.06%
1-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 41.06%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
Germany
1-2
@
7.95%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 34.43%
0-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 34.43%