Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oman had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.