USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Oman national football team

USA
4 - 0
Oman

Balogun (13', 13'), Aaronson (60', 60'), Pepi (79', 79'), Al-Braiki (81' og., 81' og.)
Musah (88'), Musah (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between USA and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 3-0 Uzbekistan
Saturday, September 9 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Oman 2-1 Palestine
Wednesday, September 6 at 3.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oman had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawOman
57.71% (3.726 3.73)24.91% (-1.765 -1.77)17.38% (-1.961 -1.96)
Both teams to score 42.08% (1.353 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.7% (3.504 3.5)58.3% (-3.503 -3.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07% (2.666 2.67)78.93% (-2.666 -2.67)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (2.991 2.99)20.19% (-2.99 -2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (4.574 4.57)52.49% (-4.573 -4.57)
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.73% (-0.292 -0.29)47.27% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.31% (-0.219 -0.22)82.69% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    USA 57.7%
    Oman 17.38%
    Draw 24.91%
USADrawOman
1-0 @ 15.27% (-0.64 -0.64)
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.362 0.36)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.845 0.85)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.598 0.6)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.534 0.53)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 57.7%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.58 -0.58)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-1.336 -1.34)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-1.076 -1.08)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.429 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 17.38%

How you voted: USA vs Oman

USA
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Oman
0.0%
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