Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Uzbekistan
48.81% ( -0.03)	25.92% ( -0)	25.27% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

0.03)

54.1% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

0.02)

75.53% (

-0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0)

22.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.4% (

-0.01)

55.6% (

0.01)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4% (

0.05)

36.59% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62% (

0.05)

73.38% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

USA 48.8%

Uzbekistan 25.27%

Draw 25.92%

USA	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.8%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.27%