Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Germany
2 - 1
France

Muller (4'), Sane (87')
Gross (41'), Rudiger (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Griezmann (89' pen.)

Reaction

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Sep 13, 10:11

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

France

All competitions

Last Game: France 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	5	11	15
2	Greece	5	5	9
3	Netherlands	4	3	9
4	Republic of Ireland	5	-2	3
5	Gibraltar	5	-17	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Germany had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	France
29.28% ( -0.11)	24.02% ( 0.02)	46.7% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.19)

43.5% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.18)

65.89% (

0.18)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-0.17)

27.91% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

-0.22)

63.53% (

0.22)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

-0.04)

18.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79% (

-0.07)

50.21% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Germany 29.28%

France 46.7%

Draw 24.02%

Germany	Draw	France
2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 46.7%