Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Germany had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.