Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

France national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Netherlands national football team

France
4 - 0
Netherlands

Griezmann (2'), Upamecano (8'), Mbappe (21', 88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Match Report

Captain Kylian Mbappe scores twice as France cruise to a 4-0 victory over the Netherlands in their opening Euro 2024 qualifier.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifier with France.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Argentina (3-4 pen.)
Friday, December 9 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawNetherlands
44.45% (-0.933 -0.93)26.46% (0.048999999999999 0.05)29.1% (0.888 0.89)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.249 0.25)53.91% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.209 0.21)75.36% (-0.205 -0.2)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.342 -0.34)24.14% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)58.44% (0.493 0.49)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.816 0.82)33.39% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.882 0.88)70.01% (-0.878 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    France 44.44%
    Netherlands 29.1%
    Draw 26.45%
FranceDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: France vs Netherlands

France
77.3%
Draw
11.7%
Netherlands
10.9%
256
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
2-0
France
Wijnaldum (44'), Depay (90' pen.)
Wijnaldum (17')

Kante (50'), Digne (58'), Pavard (72'), Dembele (89')
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
League A1
France
2-1
Netherlands
Mbappe (14'), Giroud (75')
Griezmann (56'), Pavard (80')
Babel (67')
> Match Report
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group A
France
4-0
Netherlands
Griezmann (14'), Lemar (73', 88'), Mbappe (90')
Griezmann (17'), Kurzawa (86'), Lacazette (86')

Strootman (56')
Strootman (62')
> Match Report
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
Group A
Netherlands
0-1
France

Propper (71'), Strootman (79')
Pogba (30')
Pogba (79')
> Match Report
Mar 25, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
2-3
France
De Jong (47'), Afellay (86')
Griezmann (6'), Giroud (13'), Matuidi (88')
Matuidi (69')
> Match Report