Euro Champ Qualifying
France
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Antoine Griezmann 2' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 8' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 21' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 88' goal

France vs Netherlands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Netherlands

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result

France 44.45% ▼ (-0.94)
Draw 26.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Netherlands 29.1% ▲ (+0.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.09% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 53.91% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 24.64% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 75.36% ▼ (-0.21)

France Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 24.14% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 41.56% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 58.44% ▲ (+0.50)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 66.62% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 0.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 1.5 29.99% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 1.5 70.01% ▼ (-0.88)

Score analysis

France 44.44%
Draw 26.45%
Netherlands 29.1%
France
1-0 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 44.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.45%
Netherlands
0-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.1%

Head to Head

Nations League
Netherlands
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
France
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 17' yellowcard
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 44' goal
  • Memphis Depay 90' goal
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 50'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 58'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 72'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 89'
Nations League
France
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Kylian Mbappe 14' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 56' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 80' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Babel 67'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
France
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Antoine Griezmann 14' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 73' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 88' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Netherlands
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
France
  • goal Paul Pogba 30'
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 25, 2016 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
France
  • Luuk de Jong 47' goal
  • Ibrahim Afellay 86' goal
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 6'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 13'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 69'
  • goal Blaise Matuidi 88'
International Friendlies
France
Mar 5, 2014 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Netherlands
  • Karim Benzema 32' goal
  • Blaise Matuidi 42' goal
  • Yohan Cabaye 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 37'

Form Data

Argentina 3 - 3 France
France 2 - 0 Morocco
England 1 - 2 France
France 3 - 1 Poland
Tunisia 1 - 0 France
France 2 - 1 Denmark
Netherlands 2 - 2 Argentina
Netherlands 3 - 1 USA
Netherlands 2 - 0 Qatar
Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador
Senegal 0 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 1 - 0 Belgium

Build-up

Predicted Lineups