Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

France national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Republic of Ireland national football team

France
2 - 0
Rep. Ireland

Tchouameni (19'), Thuram (48')
Hernandez (21'), Griezmann (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawRepublic of Ireland
57.31% (-0.073 -0.07)24.66% (0.022000000000002 0.02)18.03% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.77% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)56.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)19.7% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)51.71% (0.055 0.05)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (0.055 0.05)45.5% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)81.33% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    France 57.3%
    Republic of Ireland 18.03%
    Draw 24.66%
FranceDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.56%
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.03%

How you voted: France vs Rep. Ireland

France
81.5%
Draw
6.5%
Republic of Ireland
12.1%
124
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
0-1
France
Pavard (50')
> Match Report
May 28, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
France
2-0
Rep. Ireland
Giroud (40'), Fekir (44')

McClean (21'), Arter (69')
> Match Report
Jun 26, 2016 2pm
Round of 16
France
2-1
Rep. Ireland
Griezmann (58', 62')
Kante (27'), Rami (44')
Brady (2' pen.)
Coleman (25'), Hendrick (41'), Long (72')
Duffy (66')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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