Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Gibraltar national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
France national football team

Gibraltar
0 - 3
France

FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (3'), Mbappe (45+3' pen.), Mouelhi (78' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

France

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.88%) and 0-4 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.69%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawFrance
2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)8.35% (0.019 0.02)89.33% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 27.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.53% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)35.46% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.1% (0.023 0.02)70.9% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)95.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)5.08% (0.0111 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.78% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)20.21% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 2.32%
    France 89.32%
    Draw 8.35%
GibraltarDrawFrance
1-0 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 2.32%
1-1 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 8.35%
0-2 @ 15.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 15.88%
0-4 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 7.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-6 @ 3.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-7 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-6 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 89.32%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs France

Gibraltar
13.6%
Draw
5.1%
France
81.4%
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