Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 99.58%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 5-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.72%) and 6-0 (15.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.42%) The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.