Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
3 - 2
Latvia

O'Dowda (6'), Ferguson (17'), Ogbene (65')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Uldrikis (33'), Zjuzins (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Republic of Ireland warm up for Monday's showdown with France by prevailing by a 3-2 scoreline against Latvia in an international friendly.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Republic of Ireland and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current League B1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Ukraine	0	0	0
4	Armenia	0	0	0

Latvia

All competitions

Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Iceland (7-8 pen.)
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Latvia
50.98% ( -0.28)	24.6% ( 0.16)	24.41% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

-0.58)

49.57% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.52)

71.59% (

0.51)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.33)

19.44% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.55)

51.28% (

0.54)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.22)

34.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-0.23)

71.59% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 50.97%

Latvia 24.41%

Draw 24.59%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.41%