Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.19%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Latvia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Latvia.