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UEFA Nations League

Andorra national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Liechtenstein national football team

Andorra
2 - 1
Liechtenstein

Alaez (78' pen.), Rubio (82')
Bernat (63'), Fernandez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meier (90+3')
Sele (6'), Graber (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Andorra and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Liechtenstein

Last Six:
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Andorra in this match.

Result
AndorraDrawLiechtenstein
50.08% (0.073999999999998 0.07)23.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.19% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)44.35% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)66.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (0.013000000000005 0.01)17.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.51% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)30.6% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.83% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Andorra 50.08%
    Liechtenstein 26.19%
    Draw 23.74%
AndorraDrawLiechtenstein
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 50.08%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Andorra vs Liechtenstein

Andorra
72.2%
Draw
13.3%
Liechtenstein
14.4%
90