Latvia national football team
Baltic Cup | Final
Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga
Iceland national football team

Latvia
1 - 1
Iceland

FT
(aet)
Iceland win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Final clash between Latvia and Iceland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Serbia 2-1 Latvia
Sunday, November 16 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Gibraltar vs. Latvia
Thursday, March 26 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 16 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Iceland win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%).

Result
LatviaDrawIceland
38.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.39%34.72%
Both teams to score 52.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)73.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.21%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44%28.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64%64.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 38.87%
    Iceland 34.72%
    Draw 26.39%
LatviaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: Latvia vs Iceland

Latvia
50.0%
Draw
4.5%
Iceland
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
Iceland
2-2
Latvia
Sigthorsson (5'), Sigurdsson (27')
Finnbogason (23'), Sigurdsson (78')
Cauna (49'), Sabala (68')
Tarasovs (57'), Maksimenko (75')
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Latvia
0-3
Iceland

Rudnevs (43'), Bulvitis (89'), Fertovs (98')
Rudnevs (55')
Sigurdsson (66'), Gunnarsson (77'), Gislason (90')
rhs 2.0


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