Latvia national football team
Baltic Cup | Final
Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
Daugavas Stadiona, Riga
Iceland national football team

Latvia
1 - 1
Iceland

Cigaņiks (67')
FT
(aet)
Bergmann Johannesson (62' pen.)
Iceland win 8-7 on penalties
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Final clash between Latvia and Iceland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Estonia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Iceland

All competitions
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Lithuania 0-0 Iceland (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Iceland win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%).

Result
LatviaDrawIceland
38.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.39%34.72%
Both teams to score 52.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.97% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)73.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.21%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44%28.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64%64.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 38.87%
    Iceland 34.72%
    Draw 26.39%
LatviaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: Latvia vs Iceland

Latvia
50.0%
Draw
4.5%
Iceland
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2015 5pm
Group A
Iceland
2-2
Latvia
Sigthorsson (5'), Sigurdsson (27')
Finnbogason (23'), Sigurdsson (78')
Cauna (49'), Sabala (68')
Tarasovs (57'), Maksimenko (75')
> Match Report
Oct 10, 2014 7.45pm
Group A
Latvia
0-3
Iceland

Rudnevs (43'), Bulvitis (89'), Fertovs (98')
Rudnevs (55')
Sigurdsson (66'), Gunnarsson (77'), Gislason (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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