Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw has a probability of 18.8% and a win for Iceland has a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.87%) and 3-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Iceland win it is 0-1 (4.22%).