International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • John Souttar 25' goal
  • John McGinn 51' yellowcard
  • Lennon Miller 88' yellowcard
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 8'
  • goal Lewis Ferguson 45' (OG)
  • goal Victor Palsson 52'
  • yellowcard Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 69'

Scotland vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Scotland win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 26.33% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Iceland win is 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Scotland 47.61% (-0.50)
Draw 26.06% (+0.29)
Iceland 26.33% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.82% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.08% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 53.92% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 24.62% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 75.37% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 11.12% (-0.51)
Under 4.5 88.88% (+0.52)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 22.65% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 43.71% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 56.29% (+0.93)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 64.41% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 35.59% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 27.64% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 72.36% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Scotland 47.6%
Draw 26.06%
Iceland 26.33%
Scotland
1-0 @ 11.97% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.06% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.06%
Iceland
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.33%