UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvollur

Iceland
2 - 2
Wales

Tomasson (69'), Ward (72' og.)
Teitur Thordarson (28'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (32')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Johnson (11'), Wilson (29')
Johnson (32'), Roberts (41'), Moore (51'), James (59'), Ward (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Wales

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Wales
33.59% ( 0.05)	29.48% ( 0.05)	36.93% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.45% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.5% (

-0.15)

63.49% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.17% (

-0.11)

82.82% (

0.1)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

-0.04)

35.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

-0.04)

71.95% (

0.04)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-0.14)

32.95% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-0.16)

69.53% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Iceland 33.59%

Wales 36.93%

Draw 29.47%

Iceland	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 33.59%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47%	0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.93%