Slovakia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Wales national football team

Slovakia
4 - 0
Wales

Kucka (45'), Bozenik (56'), Ampadu (60' og.), Benes (90+1')
Bero (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moore (80'), James (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Slovakia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovakia 4-0 San Marino
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-0 Wales
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wales had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
SlovakiaDrawWales
52.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.86% (-0.026 -0.03)22.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (0.145 0.14)52.04% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (0.127 0.13)73.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.049000000000007 0.05)19.87% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.080000000000005 0.08)51.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (0.129 0.13)37.67% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (0.122 0.12)74.45% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 52.31%
    Wales 22.83%
    Draw 24.86%
SlovakiaDrawWales
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.83%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Wales

Slovakia
59.6%
Draw
26.6%
Wales
13.8%
94
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
1-1
Wales
Kucka (53')
Gyomber (51')
Gyomber (88')
Moore (25')
Bale (15'), Ampadu (33'), Williams (50'), James (94')
Mar 24, 2019 2pm
Group Stage
Wales
1-0
Slovakia
James (5')
Allen (53'), Brooks (60')

Mak (15'), Vavro (31'), Lobotka (41'), Duris (69'), Hamsik (86'), Stoch (90'), Kucka (90')
Jun 11, 2016 5pm
Group Stage
Wales
2-1
Slovakia
Bale (10'), Robson-Kanu (81')
Duda (61')
Hrosovsky (31'), Mak (78')