Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Slovakia

Hrosovsky (49' og.)
Gojkovic (35'), Basic (48'), Prevljak (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bozenik (52'), Satka (71')
Bozenik (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Slovakia
29.82% ( -0.04)	25.74% ( -0.03)	44.44% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.1)

50.68% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.09)

72.58% (

-0.08)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

0.02)

31.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

0.03)

67.51% (

-0.02)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.07)

22.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.1)

56.41% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.82%

Slovakia 44.43%

Draw 25.73%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.82%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.43%