The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 4 | -14 | 0 |
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 4 | -14 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Slovakia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portugal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia | Draw | Portugal |
| 24.93% ( | 26.93% | 48.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.99% ( | 58.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.3% ( | 78.71% ( |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( | 39.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( | 58.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia | Draw | Portugal |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 3-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.93% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 13.4% ( 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.14% |


