Slovakia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole (Bratislava)
Portugal national football team

Slovakia
0 - 1
Portugal


Schranz (35'), Duda (53'), Calzona (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandes (43')
Ronaldo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovakia and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group J clash with Slovakia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-1 Slovakia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Iceland 0-1 Portugal
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Slovakia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portugal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal.

Result
SlovakiaDrawPortugal
24.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.93%48.15% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)58.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)78.71% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.07% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.035 0.04)75.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.49%
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 24.93%
    Portugal 48.14%
    Draw 26.93%
SlovakiaDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.93%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 13.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.14%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Portugal

Slovakia
6.8%
Draw
10.2%
Portugal
83.1%
177