Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 99.35%. A draw had a probability of 0.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-5 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (17.14%) and 0-6 (14.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.62%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.