Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Danel Sinani 59' goal
  • Gerson Rodrigues 89' goal

Luxembourg vs Liechtenstein - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Luxembourg 0 - 6 Portugal

Liechtenstein

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 5.00pm
Liechtenstein 0 - 7 Iceland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.93%) and 1-0 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Luxembourg in this match.

Result

Luxembourg 82.5% (-1.83)
Draw 12.94% (+1.12)
Liechtenstein 4.56% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.65% (+1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51% (-1.43)
Under 2.5 44.49% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 66.86% (+1.41)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-1.03)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+1.04)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 91.63% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 8.37% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 70.88% (-1.89)
Under 1.5 29.12% (+1.90)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5 34.54% (+2.07)
Under 0.5 65.46% (-2.06)
Over 1.5 6.8% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 93.2% (-0.84)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 82.48%
Draw 12.94%
Liechtenstein 4.56%
Luxembourg
2-0 @ 16.85% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 13.93% (-0.71)
1-0 @ 13.58% (+0.34)
4-0 @ 8.65% (-0.78)
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 5.91% (+0.16)
5-0 @ 4.29% (-0.56)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.77% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 1.25% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 82.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.76% (+0.56)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 1.51% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 12.94%
Liechtenstein
0-1 @ 2.32% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 1.22% (+0.20)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 4.56%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Josy Barthel
  • Gerson Rodrigues 72' goal
  • goal Fabio Wolfinger 23'
  • goal Nicolas Hasler 61'