Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.93%) and 1-0 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Luxembourg in this match.