Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malta in this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Malta
28.44% ( 0.01)	25.26% ( -0)	46.29% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

0.01)

49.42% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

0.01)

71.46% (

-0.01)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.01)

31.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

0.01)

67.93% (

-0.02)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0)

21.36% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0)

54.33% (

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 28.44%

Malta 46.28%

Draw 25.25%

Luxembourg	Draw	Malta
1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.44%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.28%