UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estonia
2 - 1
Malta

Sappinen (45+6' pen.), Anier (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Teuma (51' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Estonia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Albania 0-0 Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Malta

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Malta 1-0 San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Malta had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Malta win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
Estonia	Draw	Malta
38.66% ( 0.07)	25.74%	35.6% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93% (

49.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85% (

71.15%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.04)

24.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44% (

0.05)

59.56% (

-0.05)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.03)

26.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.12% (

-0.05)

61.88% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Estonia 38.66%

Malta 35.6%

Draw 25.73%

Estonia	Draw	Malta
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.66%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.6%