Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.