Luxembourg national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel
Hungary national football team

Luxembourg
2 - 2
Hungary

Rodrigues (7' pen.), Curci (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Szalai (25'), Nemeth (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Luxembourg and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 0-2 Italy
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LuxembourgDrawHungary
19.98% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)22.08% (0.02 0.02)57.94% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (-0.139 -0.14)43.78% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (-0.134 -0.13)66.17% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (-0.119 -0.12)35.8% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (-0.124 -0.12)72.57% (0.128 0.13)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)14.83% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)43.14% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 19.98%
    Hungary 57.93%
    Draw 22.08%
LuxembourgDrawHungary
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.98%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.93%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Hungary

Luxembourg
14.9%
Draw
3.4%
Hungary
81.6%
87