Nations League
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-
Gerson Rodrigues
88'
Luxembourg vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
Result
Luxembourg
48.27%
▲
(+0.69)
Draw
22.09%
▼
(-0.26)
Lithuania
29.64%
▼
(-0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
65.83%
▲
(+0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.97%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
34.02%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 3.5
44.11%
▲
(+1.12)
Under 3.5
55.89%
▼
(-1.13)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5
85.4%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
14.6%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
57.31%
▲
(+1.16)
Under 1.5
42.68%
▼
(-1.16)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
77.08%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
22.92%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
43.31%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 1.5
56.69%
▼
(-0.35)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
48.27%
Draw
22.09%
Lithuania
29.64%
Luxembourg
2-1
@
9.13%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.29)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.27%
1-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.29)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.27%
Draw
1-1
@
9.49%
▼
(-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.09%
2-2 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.09%
Lithuania
1-2
@
6.99%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.64%
0-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.64%
Head to Head
Nations League
-
Justas Lasickas
54'
-
Vykintas Slivka
61'
-
Nauris Petkevicius
81'
-
Artur Dolznikov
90'+3'
-
Danel Sinani
44'
-
Danel Sinani
78'
-
Maxime Chanot
81'
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Saulius Mikoliunas
5'
-
Arvydas Novikovas
29'
-
Paulius Golubickas
39'
-
Saulius Mikoliunas
42'
-
Modestas Vorobjovas
57'
-
Karolis Laukzemis
71'
-
Arvydas Novikovas
74'
-
Linas Klimavicius
85'
-
Modestas Vorobjovas
94'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
21'
-
Dirk Carlson
27'
-
Olivier Thill
76'
-
Kevin Malget
85'
Euro Champ Qualifying
-
Christopher Martins
30'
-
Leandro Barreiro
45'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
55'
-
Dirk Carlson
70'
-
Danel Sinani
86'
-
Fiodor Cernych
14'
-
Saulius Mikoliunas
45'
-
Nerijus Valskis
86'