International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • goal Callum Robinson 55'

Malta vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2022 5.00pm
Malta 2 - 2 Greece

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2022 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 2 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result

Malta 20.26% ▼ (-17.23)
Draw 22.72% ▼ (-3.36)
Republic of Ireland 57.02% ▲ (+20.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

53% ▼ (-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.78% ▲ (+4.28)
Under 2.5 46.22% ▼ (-4.28)
Over 3.5 31.48% ▲ (+3.91)
Under 3.5 68.51% ▼ (-3.92)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 63.08% ▼ (-10.69)
Under 0.5 36.92% ▲ (+10.69)
Over 1.5 26.29% ▼ (-12.37)
Under 1.5 73.71% ▲ (+12.37)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 84.02% ▲ (+10.86)
Under 0.5 15.97% ▼ (-10.86)
Over 1.5 54.72% ▲ (+16.85)
Under 1.5 45.28% ▼ (-16.85)

Score analysis

Malta 20.26%
Draw 22.72%
Republic of Ireland 57.01%
Malta
1-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-3.54)
2-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-2.92)
2-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-3.38)
3-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-1.92)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.80)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 20.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▼ (-1.63)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-1.15)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.53)
3-3 @ 1% ▲ (+98.94)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.72%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 10.81% ▲ (+1.56)
0-2 @ 9.92% ▲ (+3.83)
1-2 @ 9.89% ▲ (+1.74)
0-3 @ 6.07% ▲ (+3.40)
1-3 @ 6.04% ▲ (+2.47)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.62)
0-4 @ 2.78% ▼ (-85.12)
1-4 @ 2.77% ▲ (+1.60)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-77.32)
0-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-22.08)
1-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-29.99)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.01%