/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fitalog.png)
-
Mateo Retegui
15'
-
Matteo Pessina
27'
Malta vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Fmatreg.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F12%2Fitadej.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 78.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.84%) and 0-1 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.
Result
Malta
6.76%
▲
(+0.28)
Draw
14.25%
▲
(+0.54)
Italy
78.99%
▼
(-0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
40.78%
▼
(-0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.42%
▼
(-1.45)
Under 2.5
40.58%
▲
(+1.45)
Over 3.5
37.04%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 3.5
62.96%
▲
(+1.51)
Over 4.5
19.81%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 4.5
80.19%
▲
(+1.18)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
44.46%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
55.53%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
11.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
88.2%
▲
(+0.13)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
91.71%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
8.29%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
71.07%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 1.5
28.93%
▲
(+1.29)
Score analysis
Malta
6.76%
Draw
14.25%
Italy
78.98%
Malta
1-0
@
2.71%
▲
(+0.16)
2-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 6.76%
2-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 6.76%
Draw
1-1
@
6.74%
▲
(+0.24)
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 14.25%
0-0 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 14.25%
Italy
0-2
@
14.27%
▲
(+0.25)
0-3 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.49)
1-2 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.18)
0-5 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.23)
1-5 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 78.98%
0-3 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.49)
1-2 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.18)
0-5 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.23)
1-5 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 78.98%
