Euro Champ Qualifying
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Eljif Elmas
66'
-
Darko Churlinov
72'
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Yannick Yankam
85'
North Macedonia vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
Result
North Macedonia
67.06%
▲
(+1.76)
Draw
20.15%
▼
(-0.41)
Malta
12.79%
▼
(-1.35)
Both Teams to Score:
45.12%
▼
(-2.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.61%
▼
(-1.19)
Under 2.5
48.39%
▲
(+1.19)
Over 3.5
29.48%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 3.5
70.52%
▲
(+1.09)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5
86.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
13.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
59.47%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
40.53%
▼
(-0.32)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5
52.16%
▼
(-2.82)
Under 0.5
47.84%
▲
(+2.82)
Over 1.5
16.89%
▼
(-2.17)
Under 1.5
83.11%
▲
(+2.17)
Score analysis
North Macedonia
67.06%
Draw
20.15%
Malta
12.79%
North Macedonia
2-0
@
12.94%
▲
(+0.76)
1-0 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.70)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.31)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.14)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 67.06%
1-0 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.70)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.31)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.23)
5-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.14)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 67.06%
Draw
1-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.15%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.15%
Malta
0-1
@
4.76%
▼
(-0.15)
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 12.79%
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 12.79%