Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Liechtenstein
0 - 7
Iceland

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kristjan Olafsson (3'), Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Gunnarsson (48', 68', 73' pen.), Gudjohnsen (85'), Egill Ellertsson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Liechtenstein and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-0 Iceland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 96.12%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-3 with a probability of 20.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (17.47%) and 0-2 (17.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.83%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
Liechtenstein	Draw	Iceland
0.25% ( -0.01)	3.63% ( -0.14)	96.12% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 7.09% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.11% (

0.67)

30.88% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.75% (

0.79)

52.25% (

-0.79)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

7.31% (

-0.09)

92.69% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.27% (

-0.01)

99.72% (

0.01)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.95% (

0.12)

3.05% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.3% (

0.41)

13.7% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Liechtenstein 0.25%

Iceland 96.09%

Draw 3.63%

Liechtenstein	Draw	Iceland
Other @ 0.25% Total : 0.25%	0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.8% Total : 3.63%	0-3 @ 20.02% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 17.47% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 17.21% ( -0.26) 0-5 @ 12.19% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.25) 0-6 @ 7.1% ( 0.2) 0-7 @ 3.54% ( 0.14) 0-8 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 96.09%