Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rade Krunic 14' goal
  • Rade Krunic 40' goal
  • Amar Dedic 63' goal

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 50.71% (-0.02)
Draw 28.14% (-0.01)
Iceland 21.15% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.54% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 64.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.38% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.62% (-0.01)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 74.08%
Under 0.5 25.92% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.08% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.92% (+0.01)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 53.38% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.62% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 17.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.2% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 50.7%
Draw 28.13%
Iceland 21.15%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 16.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 50.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.13%
Iceland
0-1 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 21.15%