Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bosnia H'vina
3 - 0
Iceland

Krunic (14', 40'), Dedic (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Iceland
50.71% ( -0.01)	28.14% ( -0)	21.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.39% (

0.01)

64.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.38% (

0.01)

83.62% (

-0.01)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08%

25.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08% (

-0)

60.92% (

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.38% (

0.03)

46.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.8% (

0.02)

82.2% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 50.7%

Iceland 21.15%

Draw 28.13%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 16.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.15%